IMD ne badla mansoon arrival date, ab Kerala mein 4 June ko aayega; India mein kam barish ka forecast

मुख्य बातें

• •IMD ne Kerala mein mansoon arrival date badha kar 4 June 2026 kiya, pehle forecast 26 May aur normal date 1 June thi.
• •Below-normal rainfall forecast: 90% LPA (pehle 92% tha); 90% se kam ko “deficient” category mein classify kiya jata hai.
• •El Nino conditions Pacific mein develop ho rahe hain, June mein weak aur September tak moderate to strong level tak pohanchne ki sambhavna — jo ki mansoon ki barish ko kam kar sakta hai.
• •IMD ke mansoon onset forecasts 21 saal (2005-2025) mein 20 baar sahi rahe, sirf 2015 mein galti hui thi.
• •mein mansoon 24 May ko aaya tha (2009 ke baad sabse jaldi), jo timing ki variability ko dikhata hai.
• •Mansoon arrival timing aur total rainfall quantity directly correlate nahi karte, lekin is baar ka below-normal forecast kheti aur paani ki availability ke liye chinta ka subject hai.
• •IMD ke hisaab se agle 2-3 din mein mansoon advance hoga — southwest & southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, aur Bay of Bengal ke kuch hisson mein.